All items · 260

GPUs, Still Not Obsolete; Doing More With The Same; SaaS Prove-It Cyber

• #Compute
• #Chips

Cancer Drugs, The Nuclear Company, Warhound, Consciousness, Marathon Alchemy + Extra Doses

• #Energy

No surprise to me but a new paper looks at the forecast accuracy of over one million prediction questions from Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and the forecasting platform Metaculus. A virtue of the new analysis is that it covers many different areas from business to elections to geo-politics. An event predicted to happen p% of the […] The post Prediction Markets Are Accurate appeared first on...

• #Small business
• #Policy and ideas

Max Doppelt: In January 2025 my mom’s lung cancer spread to her brain. The drug with the best chance of helping her was approved in China but not here. A doctor told me, almost as an aside, that if she were Chinese she could buy it at a pharmacy. So I flew to Shanghai and […] The post Protecting Americans from Medicine appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION .

Sharp Tech is, for the first time, available on video. You have two ways to consume it: YouTube, and here on Stratechery

Here is their episode summary: Economist Tyler Cowen joins David Wolpe for a conversation about AI, religion, and what makes us human. Tyler makes the case that AI’s biggest impact may be on status: who gains it, who loses it, and what happens to experts like rabbis when anyone can ask ChatGPT all their questions. […] The post Podcast with Rabbi David Wolpe appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION .

• #Policy and ideas

What happens across generations to wealth shocks? Do they endure and even magnify, or do they dissipate? By implication, how much modern wealth is attributable to events before 1900? This paper uses random shocks to family size in England before 1880 that created wealth shocks for the children to measure the persistence of wealth shocks. […] The post How Long Do Wealth Shocks Persist? Less Than...

The 40 fellows we’ve selected to join the inaugural cohort

Some of the most important technology waves are still ahead

1. The cherries trade. 2. New YouTube channel for Indian architecture. 3. Where do Math Olympiad gold medal winners end up? “By total gold medal count, China is the clear leader, followed by the pack of USA, Russia, and South Korea. Over 20 years China has 105 out of a possible 120 gold medals which […] The post Thursday assorted links appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION .

If you are teaching economics Modern Principles is the book to use! Great and original writing, over one hundred videos, iClicker, Achieve and lots of additional support. Contact Mike Krotine to get an examination copy. https://alextabarrok.com/video/modern-principles.mp4 The post Modern Principles of Economics! appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION .

• #Policy and ideas

An interview with Craig Moffett about SpaceX, from launch to broadband to mobile, plus how he is applying the lessons of the dot-com bubble to today.